what's your chance of acceptance if you submit late?

Just came across this question:

The same paper, which one would have a higher chance of being accepted in a conference?

Submit early? normal? or submit late?


Basically, would a larger submission number gives you a higher chance of being accepted?

I believe so.

Actually, as a reviewer and author, I have seen many people rushing their paper for a conference especially in CS. So a large submission number automatically hint that "the paper is rushed". So somehow the reviewer would have a low expectation. Then a good quality paper would stands out in the local region and is likely to get accepted.

Of course, this is just a small trick and no evidence can be found.

A simple way to avoid this bias is to reshuffle the paper when assigning them to the reviwers. Such that the paper's reviewer number has no correlation with the quality. Then, that seems a more fair process.

Just my 2 cents.